The papers continue to focus on the recent operation of the President’s husband, who remains on a ventilator and undergoing dialysis. The President (after a harrowing night) has set up office in the hospital for the duration of her husband’s medical emergency. The ceasefire continues (and deservedly so).
Meanwhile, the politically-inclined continue to pore over the latest Pulse Asia senatorial survey results (see Pulse Asia’s own media release). For analyses of what the numbers indicate, please take a look at Inquirer Current. The Business Mirror report quotes a Pulse Asia official as saying most voters have decided on 8-9 candidates. This makes me wonder if the old system (1946-1972) of electing senators in batches of 8, wasn’t more practical, and wiser. 12 at a pop seems too many.
Here are the updated graphs I made regarding the results (there are now three data points for the campaign, so that’s interesting in itself, you basically have a pre-election and campaign set for each of the major candidates):
But I’d like to preserve, for posterity, something Tony Lopez has written:
The Genuine Opposition wants to capture the Senate. Eight of its 11 candidates are likely to win—if you believe surveys, which in the past had been dead wrong.
The administration predicts a 9-3 victory, something that will defy public opinion. But then the Arroyo administration had defied public opinion before and survived. It even triumphed.
Lopez’s statement is, of course, part of the ongoing Palace party line. And to be sure, there are five weeks left in the campaign. But the trajectory of the candidates is there, and he is making himself party to an effort that is, to put it mildly, dangerous. But then Lopez’s conditioning is of a piece with that of the Secretary of the Cabinet:
Spotty surveys and analyses become especially damaging during elections. Trust in democracy may suffer if actual voting results contradict mistaken expectations engendered by surveys. Hence, the citizenry should continually be reminded that the people’s will only be revealed on May 14, never in any survey. In the last voter polls in 2004, President Arroyo led Fernando Poe Jr. by six- to seven-percentage points, or more than 2 million votes. She won by only 1.1 million.
In other campaign-related news: Team Unity belatedly goes on line. You can compare the Team Unity (an old-fashioned static website) and Genuine Opposition (a blog) websites. GO has unveiled new TV ads, too.
As I was trying to post this, the latest survey on trust ratings came out, too:
These numbers will certainly come as a shocker to some.
Meanwhile, Filipinos overseas are already in the thick of the voting process. The numbers abroad are already large enough, to my mind, to be significant in terms of the last few slots in the senate race. But as Winston Marbella notes in the last part of his series, whether at home or abroad, guarding the vote is key.
In the punditocracy, the Inquirer editorial bats for revealing who the nominees of the various party-list parties are. This news story on the Comelec Chairman’s brother, helps explain why.
Manuel Buencamino says the Catholic hierarchy had better be serious about clean elections. JB Baylon enumerates some criteria for voting.
Bong Austero writes on Sonia Roco losing some votes due to a remark she made using an Autism analogy. Austero closes with the pointed comment that, which on the face of it, seems to be true (I could quibble with it, but I won’t). But his column does bring to mind a recent blog entry in History Unfolding. As Roco’s remark, Austero’s response, History Unfolding’s views, and if you recall, the recent debate about the (im)propriety of how some invocations are worded, and my own disagreements with Justice Isagani Cruz indicates, we are all trying to negotiate a new linguistic landscape with lots of jealously-guarded land mines.
Mailing lists are abuzz about a new Time Magazine essay by Joel Stein, which mentions Jolibee (and not in a flattering way, Stein’s obviously freaked out by the Filipino love affair with mayonnaise).
In the blogosphere, Fats, Vitamins, and Minerals writes of the last -yes, the last- Philippine astronomer.Taking up from an older discussion, while [email protected] sees no problem with being a person of both faith and reason.
Thought the blogosphere is not without irony? See faith, hope & accommodation.
AlterNation101 says there are only two choices: to boycott the elections or vote for Ang Kapatiran.
blurry brain is wary of free trade agreements with individual nations.
And Nostalgia Boggista makes for a fun read.
Do try to attend the 3rd Philippine Blogging Summit. Here’s a map.
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