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Mar 27

Contenders remain unchanged

The latest SWS Survey on the senate race is out. The Inquirer says 7 fighting for last 4 slots in Magic 12. Mahar Mangahas says the main contenders (14 candidates) have remained unchanged over the past month. It’s also noteworthy that the number of undecided has shrunk, not by much, but in a statistically significant sense (from 14% to 10% give or take 3%).

Incidentally, An OFW Living in Hong Kong wonders if Alan Peter Cayetano will be disqualified, see a related Manila Times story. Latest update: the nuisance Cayetano’s been disqualified. And so has Danton Remoto, but not Victor Wood.

In response to the survey, the Palace says they’re not playing the surveys game (instead, as Alex Magno takes the lead in pointing out, salvation lies in statistics: he says 9 out of 10 Filipinos of working age are employed).
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Local candidates start filing their candidacies. Patricio Diaz looks at scuttlebutt that Lakas-CMD is building an alliance with the opposition (which, incidentally, now has a blog of its own). But what of the what After All calls the “battle royale” between the Speaker and mayor Benjie Lim?

The Asian Development Bank says growth has some ways to go before making a serious dent on unemployment.

Teddy Casiño wrangles with fellow Leftists. On a lighter note, Carlos Celdran wrangles with the Left.

The Greeks like it (the film, 300). The Pope wants it back (Hell) on the agenda.

In the blogosphere, nina bumanglag and exaggerated anecdotes react to the SWS-Inquirer survey.

Also, the survey on hunger continues to trigger reactions(my thoughts exactly said the President has called three emergency cabinet meetings): Blackshama discusses food security and the reactions of organized religion to hunger; Peryodistang Pinay says it’s a matter of misplaced priorities, and says over-priced lampposts are a good example of what she means. village idiot savant noticed something I’ve noticed, too: people seem smaller these days. Uniffors describes a recent round-table discussion held by the President.

Speaking of La Presidente, Philippine Commentary, it seems to me, has made his peace (grudgingly) with the President because he believes there’s bigger fish to fry and everyone should lend a hand in giving her a backbone:

President Gloria Macapagal Arroyo is no Marcos because she doesn’t have the balls that Marcos had. She may have flirted with the idea of declaring martial law last year but apparently had enough sense to take the contrary advice of the former US Director of National Intelligence, John Negroponte after he dropped by all of a sudden in November 2005 (as revealed by resigned Defense Secretary Avelino Cruz). As long as the Senate and Supreme Court are there to keep her excesses in check, it’s really her capitulationist tendencies and overeagerness to give ransom to terrorists from time to time that we really have to worry about.

An attitude he seems to share with the Cardinal Archbishop of Manila. Speaking of the President, katataspulong takes a look at Diosdado Macapagal and says the President learned from her father’s bitter experience with Marcos, and has decided, no more Mr. Nice Guy. The Bunker Chronicles says GMA7 and the Inquirer have become biased in favor of the president. (In defense of the paper, the headline for the day, March 26, was the indictment of the administration by the tribunal in the Hague, and the same banner was carried on the website).
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Davao Diaries on being strip-searched when visiting a jailed colleague.

The Purple Phoenix does not like Michael Defensor, to put it mildly.

The Quackroom recounts running into the nation campaign as it descends on Naga City. Davao Today points to a YouTube video showing how some soldiers are campaigning in urban areas (Philippine Star reports soldiers intend to stay where they are). Also writing from the same city, A Nagueño in the Blogosphere reacts to my column yesterday, and points to another hundred years hence and his attempt to reconceptualize the democratic process.

Bayanihan Blog Network points to You had me at hello! a blog by a call center worker. ExpectoRants takes the new Pasig River ferry.

Overseas, In Asia (the Asia Foundation blog)  discusses the wait Cambodians have for justice in the case of Khmer Rouge killers.

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  1. watchful eye

    watchful eye seems to suggest that there exists a problem with Filipinos-with-Chinese blood as evidenced by 9 of the names on the Forbes top-10 net-worthy of Bayang Magiliw.

    Watchful eye, do you recommend that Malay-blooded Pinoys should learn from the business practices of, or do you recommend a different set of actions against the Chinese and Chinoys?

    The problem will begin to vanish if they learn to drop the hyphen. They have to accept calling themselves Filipinos. Period. Not Chinese-Filipinos or Malay-Filipinos (is there such an animal still?) or what not. Just Filipinos. Pinoy. And proudly proclaim “Ini-ibig ko and Pilipinas.”

    Pagminahal natin ang inang bayan, susunod mamahalin na rin natin ang ating mga kababayan. Now, it would be easier to build not only for ourselves but for our country at mas magaan na mag sacripisyo para sa kapwa natin Pinoy. If we love our country and we are proud of it, then we will try to put our best effort to compete pagtayo ay nagiging kulelat. Pagsinabi ng isang banyaga na tamad at bukol ang mga Pinoy dapat pati ikaw ay nasasaktan hindi yung sila lang ah, e hindi naman ako Pilipino ah, ano ako ah.

    Ngayon tunkol duon sa sinabi ni cvj and other wonderful propositions para umangat ang bayan, again, mas madaling manyari yan kung mahal natin ang inang bayan at ang kapwa nating Pinoy. Simula lang ito. Pero sa palagay ko iyan ang pinakamaliking bagay.

  2. The Ca t

    Huh? Kaya nga random ang sample, para maging representative. Random sampling is the most reliable way of getting an unbiased segment of a population. How else should sampling be conducted? And what is your proposed measure of randomness?

    Carla, iha, una nagturo ako ng Methods of Research sa Graduate School. Kaya ito ang sasabihin ko saiyo.

    Between random sampling and stratified sampling, mas representative ang huli.

    Ano ang stratified? Ito yong pipili ka ng mga sample sa population sa bawa’t grupo na gagawin mo para alam mo na lahat ay macocover.

    Kagaya ng ang paggawa ng pinaggrupo-grupo mo ang iyong population according to income.
    Kukuha ka ngayon ng respondents galing sa low incom, middle, upper income.

    BAKIT KO SINABI ang how random?

    Kasi kahit sinabing ang random, hindi ka nakakasiguro kung random nga ang ginawa ng interviewer. Baka naman, ibinigay lang niya yon sa mga malapit sa bahay nila. At kung minsan ang mga tamad ay ibinigay lang ito sa isang lugar kung saan ang mga tao ay alam na opposition o pro-administration. Ito ang pinakamaselan sa pagreresearch, ang honesty at ang kasipagan pagnagconduct ng rrsearch. Karamihan sa mga kinukuha dito ay mga casual lang o per project kaya, they don’t give a damn.

  3. The Ca t

    Huh? Kaya nga random ang sample, para maging representative. Random sampling is the most reliable way of getting an unbiased segment of a population. How else should sampling be conducted? And what is your proposed measure of randomness?

    Carla, iha, una nagturo ako ng Methods of Research sa Graduate School. Kaya ito ang sasabihin ko saiyo.

    Between random sampling and stratified sampling, mas representative ang huli.

    Ano ang stratified? Ito yong pipili ka ng mga sample sa population sa bawa’t grupo na gagawin mo para alam mo na lahat ay macocover.

    Kagaya ng ang paggawa ng pinaggrupo-grupo mo ang iyong population according to income.
    Kukuha ka ngayon ng respondents galing sa low incom, middle, upper income.

    BAKIT KO SINABI ang how random?

    Kasi kahit sinabing ang random, hindi ka nakakasiguro kung random nga ang ginawa ng interviewer. Baka naman, ibinigay lang niya yon sa mga malapit sa bahay nila. At kung minsan ang mga tamad ay ibinigay lang ito sa isang lugar kung saan ang mga tao ay alam na opposition o pro-administration. Ito ang pinakamaselan sa pagreresearch, ang honesty at ang kasipagan pagnagconduct ng research. Karamihan sa mga kinukuha dito ay mga casual lang o per project kaya, they don’t give a damn.

  4. The Ca t

    Whether the questions measure a certain variable to the *best possible degree*. Where the questions are qualitative rather than quantitative, there is always room for interpretation, though this does NOT mean that the answers of respondents a) are totally useless to illuminate a certain condition or b) that they can be used to discern other variables that the questions are not designed to measure.

    Naintidihan mo ba itong sinabi mo?

    Sa paggawa ng questionnaire, kaya kailangang ang testing pero i validate kung naintindihan ang mga tanong para hindi to nakakaconfuse sa mga iniinterview dahil dito nakasalalay ang result sa tamang sagot.

    Sa nabasa ko sa survey tungkol sa senatorial preference, face-to-face interview ang ginawa. Ibig sabihin, hindi questionnaire PERO

    structured interview

    ang ginamit na kailangan din ang masusing paghabi ng mga tanong. Kapag ganito ang klase ng survey, hindi mo puwedeng bigyan ng values ang sagot.Kagaya ng High, Moderate etc. Karaniwan, closed ended ang question.

    Sa PERCEPTIONS TUNGKOL SA GUTOM, dahil perceptions ito, kailangan ay may mga asigned values.

    Always kung saan bibigyan ng 5 siguro ang value
    Sometimes kung saan pwedeng bigyan ng 3
    Never kung saan puwedeng bigyan ng 0 blah blah.

    Ang sabi ko ay ang mga tanong ay dapat inayos para makuha ang talagang gustong kunin.

    Kagaya ng gutom.

    Kung ang tanong ay NAKARANAS KA BANG MAGUTOM?
    Closed, ended. Yes or no.

    PEro kailangan may susunod na instruction.

    Kung ang sagot ay Yes, proceed to questions 1 to 7.

    Sino ba ang sasagot ng hindi. Dahil lahat ay nakakaranas ng gutom.

    Balik mo sa random survey.

    Ang random survey ay kung sino lang ang makita.

    Eh kung ang binigyan ay nasa middle income bracket ?

    Iba ang magiging dahilan ng kanilang Gutom na kung sa akin yan ay totally wasted questionnaire.

    So nakita mo ang importansiya ng stratified sampling?

    Anong wisdom ang pinagsasabi mo?

  5. The Ca t

    Whether there are correlations between variables. Kung ang sumagot na gutom sila ay nagkataong dukha rin, siguro naman ang gutom nila ay dahil sa kahirapan at di dahil sa nagda-diet lang sila.

    Sa research ang correlation ay hindi lahat nagbibigay ng causal relationship. Kaya tinetest nila ang significance ng correlation kung ito ay high, low o wala talaga.

    Saiyong tanong, makikita mo ang kahalagahan ng hindi random ang pagbigay ng questionnaire para ang iyong paghanap ng cause ay mas malinaw.

    Kung nakapagbasa ka lang ng Methods of Research o kaya tungkol sa pagconduct ng research, huwag mo na akong palecturin kung paano mamanipulate ang resulta ng survey .

    Pagpinalecture mo pa ako sa Statistics na ginagamit sa research, bibigyan na kita ng bill.

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