My column for today is Revolt in the making. There’s an interesting proposal, and movement, afoot in Negros Occidental. Some interesting political and other scuttlebutt from various sources in Bacolod City, including local media men:
*The observation that the President’s repeated visits are a sign she thinks she needs to tend to her political support there, but that familiarity is breeding indifference -she comes to often each return visit increasingly becomes a non-event, which isn’t politically helpful.
*Who’s strong, senatorial elections-wise: Loren Legarda, and, suprisingly, Gringo Honasan (“nothing he does reduces his popularity”). Generally, people will vote opposition in terms of the Senate: Miguel Zubiri is the lone administration candidate considered to have a strong chance among local voters.
*Whose support is waning, waning: Panfilo Lacson (formerly very strong), and Allan Peter Cayetano. For the same reason: “all bark, no bite.” Also, Tito Sotto,Tessie Oreta: “they jumped to the wrong ship” are doing poorly, as is Mike Defensor.
*In general, “the masses are for Estrada up to now,” but other considerations (such as dole-outs) means political sympathies may not be reflected in the actual voting.
*Part of Iggy Arroyo’s campaign strategy was to give a karaoke machine to every barangay, delivered via chopper.
*Supposedly, 27% malnutrion rate among kids. Claim that 60% of rural kids have cooties.
*Hacienda owners are gearing up to have the land reform program formally abolished, or no longer extended.
This afternoon, a team from GMA7’s Reporter’s Notebook interviewed me about the insurgency. Interesting conventional wisdom from sources ranging from Gen. Almonte (ret.) etc.: NPA strength is back at the level it reached before the 1986 Edsa Revolution. Reporter told me that instead of having to recruit students into the CPP, students are now volunteering to join the NPA, etc. -in some cases, with the support and encouragement of their parents.
In the blogosphere, Far From Neutral Notions comments on Cesar Montano’s senatorial bid, as does Underside, as does The Purple Phoenix, who serves as a bridge to entries identifying how bloggers will vote, and why, are multiplying.
The Philippine Experience explains why he will vote straight opposition, as will raincontreras.com; Far From Neutral Notions is ambivalent. Big Mango even more so, if degrees of ambivalence is possible. Village Tickler is plain disgusted with both slates.
I wonder if the views of students, whether Sunday Driving or Ang Akeng Mooltiplay (see also her impassioned -and touching- appeal for young people like her to vote), both explaining why they the opposition, are the exception or the rule.
Filipino Changemaker writes an open letter: if seven things take place during the coming elections, he might just leave the country.
Unsleepable dissects the political ads showing on TV.