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	<title>Comments on: Now you see it, now you don&#8217;t</title>
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	<link>http://www.quezon.ph/2009/12/12/now-you-see-it-now-you-dont/</link>
	<description>Punditry. Politics. History. Commentary.</description>
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		<title>By: mlq3</title>
		<link>http://www.quezon.ph/2009/12/12/now-you-see-it-now-you-dont/comment-page-1/#comment-1072700</link>
		<dc:creator>mlq3</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Dec 2009 01:30:16 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.quezon.ph/2009/12/12/now-you-see-it-now-you-dont/#comment-1072700</guid>
		<description>The only problem is the survey firm. It&#039;s Managing Director Art Valenzuela&#039;s claim to fame is he&#039;s the one who put forward JDV would win in 1998. More important, it&#039;s Ed Malay behind it, he&#039;s FVR&#039;s guy. Why is the Lakas spokesperson trumpeting Villar&#039;s so-called &quot;catching up&quot;? Is Villar with Lakas?

Only  Pulse and SWS are considered to have a track record of dependability and consistency. What this is is push polling. Push polling is an old technique used to pull a frontrunners&#039; numbers down.

The one to watch is what follows from this:

http://www.mb.com.ph/articles/233934/villar-inches-closer-latest-sws-poll

With Chiz dropping out and Noli, too. Where will their supporters go? And with the addition of Gordon, where will his support come from? If we assume Gibo&#039;s strategy is to find a way to start with the President&#039;s core constituency of 20% and hopefully add to it, and that a crowded field might flatten numbers enough, it gives him a fighting chance -what remains to be seen, though, is if the President&#039;s 20% constituency is transferable.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>The only problem is the survey firm. It&#8217;s Managing Director Art Valenzuela&#8217;s claim to fame is he&#8217;s the one who put forward JDV would win in 1998. More important, it&#8217;s Ed Malay behind it, he&#8217;s FVR&#8217;s guy. Why is the Lakas spokesperson trumpeting Villar&#8217;s so-called &#8220;catching up&#8221;? Is Villar with Lakas?</p>
<p>Only  Pulse and SWS are considered to have a track record of dependability and consistency. What this is is push polling. Push polling is an old technique used to pull a frontrunners&#8217; numbers down.</p>
<p>The one to watch is what follows from this:</p>
<p><a href="http://www.mb.com.ph/articles/233934/villar-inches-closer-latest-sws-poll" rel="nofollow">http://www.mb.com.ph/articles/233934/villar-inches-closer-latest-sws-poll</a></p>
<p>With Chiz dropping out and Noli, too. Where will their supporters go? And with the addition of Gordon, where will his support come from? If we assume Gibo&#8217;s strategy is to find a way to start with the President&#8217;s core constituency of 20% and hopefully add to it, and that a crowded field might flatten numbers enough, it gives him a fighting chance -what remains to be seen, though, is if the President&#8217;s 20% constituency is transferable.</p>
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		<title>By: Carl</title>
		<link>http://www.quezon.ph/2009/12/12/now-you-see-it-now-you-dont/comment-page-1/#comment-1072689</link>
		<dc:creator>Carl</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Dec 2009 00:12:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.quezon.ph/2009/12/12/now-you-see-it-now-you-dont/#comment-1072689</guid>
		<description>&quot;Side-topic: Inquirer reports on latest presidential-election survey. Aquino-31%, Villar 24%, Erap-para-sa-mahirap 19%, Gibo 10%â€¦. and beneficiary from recent weeks â€” Gordon rapid rise to 8%.&quot;




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Gibo, rising from 2% to 10%? That&#039;s a five-fold increase. Not too shabby! Gordon, from almost nowhere to 8% is indeed impressive! Did the debates help to form these opinions? Gibo and Gordon have consistently performed well. Noynoy, has been his usual drab self. It seems to show in his dropping numbers.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;Side-topic: Inquirer reports on latest presidential-election survey. Aquino-31%, Villar 24%, Erap-para-sa-mahirap 19%, Gibo 10%â€¦. and beneficiary from recent weeks â€” Gordon rapid rise to 8%.&#8221;</p>
<p>***********************************************************</p>
<p>Gibo, rising from 2% to 10%? That&#8217;s a five-fold increase. Not too shabby! Gordon, from almost nowhere to 8% is indeed impressive! Did the debates help to form these opinions? Gibo and Gordon have consistently performed well. Noynoy, has been his usual drab self. It seems to show in his dropping numbers.</p>
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		<title>By: UP n grad</title>
		<link>http://www.quezon.ph/2009/12/12/now-you-see-it-now-you-dont/comment-page-1/#comment-1072665</link>
		<dc:creator>UP n grad</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 13 Dec 2009 19:09:42 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.quezon.ph/2009/12/12/now-you-see-it-now-you-dont/#comment-1072665</guid>
		<description>Agree with regards Congress, not the Supreme Court, as the one with the power.  Had it been (when GMA declared martial law) that GMA had the stature of Zelaya/Honduras, the convening of Congress would have been within 24 hours along with troops to depose.
=========
Side-topic: Inquirer reports on latest presidential-election survey.  Aquino-31%, &lt;b&gt;Villar 24%&lt;/b&gt;, Erap-para-sa-mahirap 19%, Gibo 10%....  and beneficiary from recent weeks --- Gordon rapid rise to 8%.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Agree with regards Congress, not the Supreme Court, as the one with the power.  Had it been (when GMA declared martial law) that GMA had the stature of Zelaya/Honduras, the convening of Congress would have been within 24 hours along with troops to depose.<br />
=========<br />
Side-topic: Inquirer reports on latest presidential-election survey.  Aquino-31%, <b>Villar 24%</b>, Erap-para-sa-mahirap 19%, Gibo 10%&#8230;.  and beneficiary from recent weeks &#8212; Gordon rapid rise to 8%.</p>
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		<title>By: dOdOng</title>
		<link>http://www.quezon.ph/2009/12/12/now-you-see-it-now-you-dont/comment-page-1/#comment-1072663</link>
		<dc:creator>dOdOng</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 13 Dec 2009 19:01:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.quezon.ph/2009/12/12/now-you-see-it-now-you-dont/#comment-1072663</guid>
		<description>&quot;the Court can only review â€œthe sufficiency of the factual basis of the proclamation.â€ 

However limited as told by Bernas, SC will continue to act on the 7 petitions against Martial Law which will be discussed on Tuesday when the justices sit in an en banc session.

Let us see by Tuesday or later what SC will say to confirm if Bernas is indeed right.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;the Court can only review â€œthe sufficiency of the factual basis of the proclamation.â€ </p>
<p>However limited as told by Bernas, SC will continue to act on the 7 petitions against Martial Law which will be discussed on Tuesday when the justices sit in an en banc session.</p>
<p>Let us see by Tuesday or later what SC will say to confirm if Bernas is indeed right.</p>
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		<title>By: dOdOng</title>
		<link>http://www.quezon.ph/2009/12/12/now-you-see-it-now-you-dont/comment-page-1/#comment-1072661</link>
		<dc:creator>dOdOng</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 13 Dec 2009 18:33:25 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.quezon.ph/2009/12/12/now-you-see-it-now-you-dont/#comment-1072661</guid>
		<description>There are 2 important issues to watch at judiciary.

1. Admissability of evidences acquired through Martial Law.

2. Deciding or not on the legality of Martial Law in Maguindanao.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There are 2 important issues to watch at judiciary.</p>
<p>1. Admissability of evidences acquired through Martial Law.</p>
<p>2. Deciding or not on the legality of Martial Law in Maguindanao.</p>
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		<title>By: mlq3</title>
		<link>http://www.quezon.ph/2009/12/12/now-you-see-it-now-you-dont/comment-page-1/#comment-1072660</link>
		<dc:creator>mlq3</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 13 Dec 2009 18:32:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.quezon.ph/2009/12/12/now-you-see-it-now-you-dont/#comment-1072660</guid>
		<description>Bernas today has something interesting to say about the Ac and martial law:

http://opinion.inquirer.net/inquireropinion/columns/view/20091213-241862/After-martial-law-what



&lt;blockquote&gt;With martial law lifted, however, there will be no occasion to discuss this academic issue.

Incidentally, and this is now probably also an academic matter, I have also maintained that the power of the Supreme Court over a declaration of martial law is more limited than that of Congress. Aside from being able to interpret the meaning of rebellion, the Court can only review â€œthe sufficiency of the factual basis of the proclamation.â€ The Court cannot determine whether the choice of martial law is the correct solution to a factual situation.

Congress has a broader power. Even if the factual basis for the proclamation is sufficient, Congress may still revoke the presidentâ€™s decision. The Constitution does not limit the grounds upon which Congress may base revocation. However, the vote needed is a majority of all the members of Congress voting jointly. This does not seem to be easy of achievement in the present Congress.&lt;/blockquote&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Bernas today has something interesting to say about the Ac and martial law:</p>
<p><a href="http://opinion.inquirer.net/inquireropinion/columns/view/20091213-241862/After-martial-law-what" rel="nofollow">http://opinion.inquirer.net/inquireropinion/columns/view/20091213-241862/After-martial-law-what</a></p>
<blockquote><p>With martial law lifted, however, there will be no occasion to discuss this academic issue.</p>
<p>Incidentally, and this is now probably also an academic matter, I have also maintained that the power of the Supreme Court over a declaration of martial law is more limited than that of Congress. Aside from being able to interpret the meaning of rebellion, the Court can only review â€œthe sufficiency of the factual basis of the proclamation.â€ The Court cannot determine whether the choice of martial law is the correct solution to a factual situation.</p>
<p>Congress has a broader power. Even if the factual basis for the proclamation is sufficient, Congress may still revoke the presidentâ€™s decision. The Constitution does not limit the grounds upon which Congress may base revocation. However, the vote needed is a majority of all the members of Congress voting jointly. This does not seem to be easy of achievement in the present Congress.</p></blockquote>
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		<title>By: dOdOng</title>
		<link>http://www.quezon.ph/2009/12/12/now-you-see-it-now-you-dont/comment-page-1/#comment-1072658</link>
		<dc:creator>dOdOng</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 13 Dec 2009 18:28:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.quezon.ph/2009/12/12/now-you-see-it-now-you-dont/#comment-1072658</guid>
		<description>&quot;The President has once more exercised her powers and then pulled back before any conclusion permanently limiting her options in the future can be reached.&quot;

This can be appreciated if all or most of those appointed justices by President Arroyo will chose not to decide on legality to avoid clipping Executive powers. Let us see if Puno has the leadership of his own chamber.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;The President has once more exercised her powers and then pulled back before any conclusion permanently limiting her options in the future can be reached.&#8221;</p>
<p>This can be appreciated if all or most of those appointed justices by President Arroyo will chose not to decide on legality to avoid clipping Executive powers. Let us see if Puno has the leadership of his own chamber.</p>
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		<title>By: dOdOng</title>
		<link>http://www.quezon.ph/2009/12/12/now-you-see-it-now-you-dont/comment-page-1/#comment-1072657</link>
		<dc:creator>dOdOng</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 13 Dec 2009 18:20:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.quezon.ph/2009/12/12/now-you-see-it-now-you-dont/#comment-1072657</guid>
		<description>&quot;In one fell swoop, Congress and the Supreme Court has been rendered unable to exercise the Constitutional oversight&quot;

True for Congress but false for Supreme Court. Justice Secretary is still bound to answer SC despite the martial law lifting and SC can still decide on the legality.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;In one fell swoop, Congress and the Supreme Court has been rendered unable to exercise the Constitutional oversight&#8221;</p>
<p>True for Congress but false for Supreme Court. Justice Secretary is still bound to answer SC despite the martial law lifting and SC can still decide on the legality.</p>
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		<title>By: Bert</title>
		<link>http://www.quezon.ph/2009/12/12/now-you-see-it-now-you-dont/comment-page-1/#comment-1072619</link>
		<dc:creator>Bert</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 13 Dec 2009 07:43:40 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.quezon.ph/2009/12/12/now-you-see-it-now-you-dont/#comment-1072619</guid>
		<description>&quot;The rise of this culture of impunity is fueled by the realization by the powerful that the state is resource poor in implementing laws.&quot;-J_AG

When money and brute force are supreme, impunity is the law! Government in this case is useless.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;The rise of this culture of impunity is fueled by the realization by the powerful that the state is resource poor in implementing laws.&#8221;-J_AG</p>
<p>When money and brute force are supreme, impunity is the law! Government in this case is useless.</p>
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		<title>By: grd</title>
		<link>http://www.quezon.ph/2009/12/12/now-you-see-it-now-you-dont/comment-page-1/#comment-1072614</link>
		<dc:creator>grd</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 13 Dec 2009 05:42:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.quezon.ph/2009/12/12/now-you-see-it-now-you-dont/#comment-1072614</guid>
		<description>An occasional compliment never hurts.

*************************************************************

agree.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>An occasional compliment never hurts.</p>
<p>*************************************************************</p>
<p>agree.</p>
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