In the first, the opposition (and I include independents in this camp) is poised to win; in the second, the president will win, but there will still be a significant enough opposition to make things a pain in the rear; in the third, the president will win, but the support will be conditional, and thus fickle, going into the challenges she’ll be facing; in the fourth, the Chief Justice has shown signs of putting up a fight which will be problematic for the president.Does the president possess a trump card, in terms of the police, followed by the military?… But she needs a big win, because she has a couple of big fights lined up as soon as the second half of this year: she has to raise taxes (never popular); she needs to start on her major infrastructure projects (for which she needs taxes); she will have to keep her critics on the defensive by mounting a new effort to amend the constitution: all three add all sorts of dynamics to what may be merely the ritual of going through another impeachment effort.2…. Second, its part of a larger trend that other faiths, without the historical baggage of the Catholic Church, have embraced far more readily, even eagerly: dating all the way back to Gregorio Aglipay’s presidential bid in 1935, the rise of the Iglesia ni Cristo as a political force starting in the 50s and 60s, and the Eddie Villanueva campaign in 2004.