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	<title>Comments on: The maggot strategy</title>
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	<link>http://www.quezon.ph/2006/10/03/the-maggot-strategy/</link>
	<description>Punditry. Politics. History. Commentary.</description>
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		<title>By: Bokyo</title>
		<link>http://www.quezon.ph/2006/10/03/the-maggot-strategy/comment-page-1/#comment-106140</link>
		<dc:creator>Bokyo</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Oct 2006 06:05:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.quezon.ph/?p=1060#comment-106140</guid>
		<description>Although the effect of changes in exchange rate can be both in peso and dollar, the reason has nothing to do with peso strengthening against the dollar.  All this is just because of the supply of the dollar and other factors affecting the dollar.

As to the nursing retake, I just don&#039;t see the reasons why all of the examinees have to have a retake, besides the actions against those responsible against this problem should be taken first ahead of the retake.  I would have wanted the leadership of BON and PRC resigned for the subsequent actions made after the controversy.  The problem really is about credibility of those institutions and should not be particularly focused on whether the board passers are qualified to pass or not because of the leakage.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Although the effect of changes in exchange rate can be both in peso and dollar, the reason has nothing to do with peso strengthening against the dollar.  All this is just because of the supply of the dollar and other factors affecting the dollar.</p>
<p>As to the nursing retake, I just don&#8217;t see the reasons why all of the examinees have to have a retake, besides the actions against those responsible against this problem should be taken first ahead of the retake.  I would have wanted the leadership of BON and PRC resigned for the subsequent actions made after the controversy.  The problem really is about credibility of those institutions and should not be particularly focused on whether the board passers are qualified to pass or not because of the leakage.</p>
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		<title>By: Manuel L. Quezon III: The Daily Dose &#187; Blog Archive &#187; A crime but no criminals</title>
		<link>http://www.quezon.ph/2006/10/03/the-maggot-strategy/comment-page-1/#comment-106019</link>
		<dc:creator>Manuel L. Quezon III: The Daily Dose &#187; Blog Archive &#187; A crime but no criminals</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Oct 2006 05:23:36 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.quezon.ph/?p=1060#comment-106019</guid>
		<description>[...] As for the Ombudsman&#8217;s report to meet the first (September 30) deadline, which has caused all the buzz, I haven&#8217;t been able to download the report, but apparenty reader CJV has, and weighs in with his thoughts;Ã‚Â  jamesjimenez at the Comelec begins to dissect the report. [...]</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>[...] As for the Ombudsman&#8217;s report to meet the first (September 30) deadline, which has caused all the buzz, I haven&#8217;t been able to download the report, but apparenty reader CJV has, and weighs in with his thoughts;Ã‚Â  jamesjimenez at the Comelec begins to dissect the report. [...]</p>
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		<title>By: ricelander</title>
		<link>http://www.quezon.ph/2006/10/03/the-maggot-strategy/comment-page-1/#comment-105962</link>
		<dc:creator>ricelander</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Oct 2006 04:58:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.quezon.ph/?p=1060#comment-105962</guid>
		<description>&quot;How can everyone be so sure that importers will adjust their prices downwards?&quot;

Amadeo, theoretically economic competition will.



Joselu says, pertaining to the refusal of some nursing graduates to have a retake of the board exam: &quot;... I think we should be more concerned of protecting the integrety of the exsam that counts.&quot;

Well, Joselu, try substituting your word &quot;EXSAM&quot; with something like... ELECTIONS!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>&#8220;How can everyone be so sure that importers will adjust their prices downwards?&#8221;</p>
<p>Amadeo, theoretically economic competition will.</p>
<p>Joselu says, pertaining to the refusal of some nursing graduates to have a retake of the board exam: &#8220;&#8230; I think we should be more concerned of protecting the integrety of the exsam that counts.&#8221;</p>
<p>Well, Joselu, try substituting your word &#8220;EXSAM&#8221; with something like&#8230; ELECTIONS!</p>
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		<title>By: Amadeo Dela Cruz</title>
		<link>http://www.quezon.ph/2006/10/03/the-maggot-strategy/comment-page-1/#comment-105935</link>
		<dc:creator>Amadeo Dela Cruz</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Oct 2006 03:35:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.quezon.ph/?p=1060#comment-105935</guid>
		<description>How can everyone be so sure that importers will adjust their prices downwards?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>How can everyone be so sure that importers will adjust their prices downwards?</p>
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		<title>By: Shaman of Malilipot</title>
		<link>http://www.quezon.ph/2006/10/03/the-maggot-strategy/comment-page-1/#comment-105933</link>
		<dc:creator>Shaman of Malilipot</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Oct 2006 03:29:35 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.quezon.ph/?p=1060#comment-105933</guid>
		<description>Instead of reading the Casimiro Panel&#039;s decision, read the report of Ma. Olivia Elena Roxas of the Ombudsman&#039;s Field Inspection Office that recommended the filing of criminal, administrative, and civil charges against the Commissioners. Then you will understand why Casimiro&#039;s conclusion, even without reading the entire decision, is absurd.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Instead of reading the Casimiro Panel&#8217;s decision, read the report of Ma. Olivia Elena Roxas of the Ombudsman&#8217;s Field Inspection Office that recommended the filing of criminal, administrative, and civil charges against the Commissioners. Then you will understand why Casimiro&#8217;s conclusion, even without reading the entire decision, is absurd.</p>
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		<title>By: hvrds</title>
		<link>http://www.quezon.ph/2006/10/03/the-maggot-strategy/comment-page-1/#comment-105930</link>
		<dc:creator>hvrds</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Oct 2006 03:01:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.quezon.ph/?p=1060#comment-105930</guid>
		<description>Relativism and the exchange rate. 

Contrary to popular opinion and belief the peso dollar exchange rate is managed by the BSP to control inflation. (Our inflation is structural)Our modern standard of living is almost entirely import dependent.

Every budget year the BSP together with the budget department target a foreign exchange rate average. This year the band is between Php 51-53 to the dollar. It is always announced at the start of the budget year.Fixed rates of exchange mean a managed band.  The Peoples Bank of China uses a narrow band with stringent controls of capital movement while we use a wider band with interest rate differentials acting as the lever to control the band. The peso is not a fully convertible currency and there are partial exchange controls on the peso. You cannot export more than Php 10,000 per individual. Not that many export it abroad since there is very very very limited demand for it. 

Money traders smuggle physical currency to Hongkong to take advantage of the rate arbitrage of Filipinos who wish to change their dollars into peso or other travelers into HK or traders who require it. You need more dollars to buy pesos in the retail markets in HK. Also with basic metals at a high, people are exporting Philippine coins for their metal content to take advantage of high metal prices. Dont&#039; you love the free markets when there is a profit to be made. 

Business and governments do not have a day or weeks time frame. For individuals it is a different story. 

Add to this the fact today that Asian Central banks have a cash hoard of $3 trillion and with the dangers of having too much cash infusion in their economies they lend it to the U.S. and to other governments like the Philippines that have higher yields on their debt paper. Short term rates in Japan are still close to zero compared to ours which is closer to 10%.  Clearly a no brainer. So the basics of supply and demand take hold in some respects and we have a very good currency trader (former Citi trader Omar Cruz) in charge of the tresury who knows how to time borrowings and payments to cut down on our interest payments. The treasury also did a lot of debt swaps to replace high interest bonds with lower interest ones due to the benign conditions abroad.
 An example of how benign conditions were abroad was when the Thai coup happened their interest rate differentials in the markets did not move at all. 
After the Asian crisis of 1997 the Philippines joined the Chang Mai initiative and signed currency swap agreements with Japan, China and South Korea as a safety net source of hard currency insurance in case of balance of payments problems. In return we granted them special deals.  Beggars can&#039;t be choosers. Our international reserves amount to less than 1% ($20B+)of the Asian hoard and we have a dollar or foreign debt exposure of over $60 billion. We have effectively been running on empty since 1997. Our reserves are not our own since it is all composed of borrowed funds. 

Maybe we could trade (ship them overseas) another 10 to 20M people for cash to solve that problem!!!!  So far Japan has agreed to only a microspic figure for now. China will have a growing demographic problem in the medium to long term so there is still hope. 

That is why for my clients I always say, go very short on  peso assets and always long on the dollar assets, euro assets, Canadian or Australian assets. If you can afford it keep 10% to 20 % in gold for the medium term.  It will be rocky hopefully for that period only.  

Unfortunately or fortunately for us Mike and Gloria had nothing to do with what has transpired. Our increased tax payments also helped.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Relativism and the exchange rate. </p>
<p>Contrary to popular opinion and belief the peso dollar exchange rate is managed by the BSP to control inflation. (Our inflation is structural)Our modern standard of living is almost entirely import dependent.</p>
<p>Every budget year the BSP together with the budget department target a foreign exchange rate average. This year the band is between Php 51-53 to the dollar. It is always announced at the start of the budget year.Fixed rates of exchange mean a managed band.  The Peoples Bank of China uses a narrow band with stringent controls of capital movement while we use a wider band with interest rate differentials acting as the lever to control the band. The peso is not a fully convertible currency and there are partial exchange controls on the peso. You cannot export more than Php 10,000 per individual. Not that many export it abroad since there is very very very limited demand for it. </p>
<p>Money traders smuggle physical currency to Hongkong to take advantage of the rate arbitrage of Filipinos who wish to change their dollars into peso or other travelers into HK or traders who require it. You need more dollars to buy pesos in the retail markets in HK. Also with basic metals at a high, people are exporting Philippine coins for their metal content to take advantage of high metal prices. Dont&#8217; you love the free markets when there is a profit to be made. </p>
<p>Business and governments do not have a day or weeks time frame. For individuals it is a different story. </p>
<p>Add to this the fact today that Asian Central banks have a cash hoard of $3 trillion and with the dangers of having too much cash infusion in their economies they lend it to the U.S. and to other governments like the Philippines that have higher yields on their debt paper. Short term rates in Japan are still close to zero compared to ours which is closer to 10%.  Clearly a no brainer. So the basics of supply and demand take hold in some respects and we have a very good currency trader (former Citi trader Omar Cruz) in charge of the tresury who knows how to time borrowings and payments to cut down on our interest payments. The treasury also did a lot of debt swaps to replace high interest bonds with lower interest ones due to the benign conditions abroad.<br />
 An example of how benign conditions were abroad was when the Thai coup happened their interest rate differentials in the markets did not move at all.<br />
After the Asian crisis of 1997 the Philippines joined the Chang Mai initiative and signed currency swap agreements with Japan, China and South Korea as a safety net source of hard currency insurance in case of balance of payments problems. In return we granted them special deals.  Beggars can&#8217;t be choosers. Our international reserves amount to less than 1% ($20B+)of the Asian hoard and we have a dollar or foreign debt exposure of over $60 billion. We have effectively been running on empty since 1997. Our reserves are not our own since it is all composed of borrowed funds. </p>
<p>Maybe we could trade (ship them overseas) another 10 to 20M people for cash to solve that problem!!!!  So far Japan has agreed to only a microspic figure for now. China will have a growing demographic problem in the medium to long term so there is still hope. </p>
<p>That is why for my clients I always say, go very short on  peso assets and always long on the dollar assets, euro assets, Canadian or Australian assets. If you can afford it keep 10% to 20 % in gold for the medium term.  It will be rocky hopefully for that period only.  </p>
<p>Unfortunately or fortunately for us Mike and Gloria had nothing to do with what has transpired. Our increased tax payments also helped.</p>
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		<title>By: melvinsky</title>
		<link>http://www.quezon.ph/2006/10/03/the-maggot-strategy/comment-page-1/#comment-105909</link>
		<dc:creator>melvinsky</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Oct 2006 01:08:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.quezon.ph/?p=1060#comment-105909</guid>
		<description>mlq3,
will you kindly post in your next article a summary and the linkages of the senate, SC and ombudsman decisions with your comments so we can look at the reason and logic of the issues.it is difficult to respond or comment on something that we have not digested.i really appreciate your articles because of the enlightenment you expound on the issues.more power</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>mlq3,<br />
will you kindly post in your next article a summary and the linkages of the senate, SC and ombudsman decisions with your comments so we can look at the reason and logic of the issues.it is difficult to respond or comment on something that we have not digested.i really appreciate your articles because of the enlightenment you expound on the issues.more power</p>
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		<title>By: Carl</title>
		<link>http://www.quezon.ph/2006/10/03/the-maggot-strategy/comment-page-1/#comment-105905</link>
		<dc:creator>Carl</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Wed, 04 Oct 2006 00:34:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.quezon.ph/?p=1060#comment-105905</guid>
		<description>Since we are basically import-dependent, almost everybody gains by a peso appreciation. Actually, more important than appreciation is stability. A stable currency makes it easier to plan and do business. It also causes less anxiety to the consumers. As for luxury items, those who can afford to indulge in them often buy them abroad anyway (just as Rolex Suplico did when he purchased his Rolexes).</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Since we are basically import-dependent, almost everybody gains by a peso appreciation. Actually, more important than appreciation is stability. A stable currency makes it easier to plan and do business. It also causes less anxiety to the consumers. As for luxury items, those who can afford to indulge in them often buy them abroad anyway (just as Rolex Suplico did when he purchased his Rolexes).</p>
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		<title>By: toots ople</title>
		<link>http://www.quezon.ph/2006/10/03/the-maggot-strategy/comment-page-1/#comment-105901</link>
		<dc:creator>toots ople</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Oct 2006 23:50:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.quezon.ph/?p=1060#comment-105901</guid>
		<description>mlq, this is just to give you a heads-up .. lawyers opposing the PI before the SC will be at the Comelec this morning to examine the documents submitted by The Legion. i&#039;ll join them so i can blog about it later. while the sigawers had their merry, sweet time in getting the election registrars in more than 200 districts to verify their submissions, our lawyers have only today until friday to examine the documents after which they would have to start drafting their memorandums. the opposing counsels wish to point out that the process involved is not verification (that would be up to Comelec central office in case the SC decides in Legion&#039;s favor), but just the chance to finally look at these petitions, certifications, and possibly some of the signatures to see if they meet all the requirements re a genuine people&#039;s initiative. Abangan! :-)</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>mlq, this is just to give you a heads-up .. lawyers opposing the PI before the SC will be at the Comelec this morning to examine the documents submitted by The Legion. i&#8217;ll join them so i can blog about it later. while the sigawers had their merry, sweet time in getting the election registrars in more than 200 districts to verify their submissions, our lawyers have only today until friday to examine the documents after which they would have to start drafting their memorandums. the opposing counsels wish to point out that the process involved is not verification (that would be up to Comelec central office in case the SC decides in Legion&#8217;s favor), but just the chance to finally look at these petitions, certifications, and possibly some of the signatures to see if they meet all the requirements re a genuine people&#8217;s initiative. Abangan! <img src='http://www.quezon.ph/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':-)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
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		<title>By: tbl</title>
		<link>http://www.quezon.ph/2006/10/03/the-maggot-strategy/comment-page-1/#comment-105761</link>
		<dc:creator>tbl</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 03 Oct 2006 22:49:44 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.quezon.ph/?p=1060#comment-105761</guid>
		<description>in other words, since rp is basically an importer country from high tech goods to basic ones such as rice and now chickens and eggs...then less peso per dollar exhange  will benefit rp?

i remember the days when i first exchnaged my dollar with seven pesos in a secluded place somewhere in kamuning and edsa.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>in other words, since rp is basically an importer country from high tech goods to basic ones such as rice and now chickens and eggs&#8230;then less peso per dollar exhange  will benefit rp?</p>
<p>i remember the days when i first exchnaged my dollar with seven pesos in a secluded place somewhere in kamuning and edsa.</p>
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