The survey, released on April 3, covers the First Quarter of the year, and was taken in the aftermath of the proclamation of a state of national emergency (March 8-14). The survey say responses to the following questions were as follows:
Q. “If President Arroyo resigns, it will be good for the country.”
In December, 2005
Agree 58% (61% NCR, 59% Balance of Luzon, 50% Visayas, 60% Mindanao; 59% Class ABC, 56% Class D, 60% Class E)
Disagree 17% (21% NCR, 18% Balance of Luzon, 17% Visayas, 12% Mindanao; 24% Class ABC, 17% Class D, 15% Class E)
In the First Quarter of 2006
Agree 44% (56% NCR, 44% Balance of Luzon, 35% Visayas, 45% Mindanao; 44% Class ABC, 42% Class D, 50% Class E)
Disagree 23% (14% NCR,Ã‚Â 26% Balance of Luzon, 33% Visayas, 14% Mindanao; 17% Class ABC, 26% Class D, 18% Class E)
Q. “It is good for the country if PGMA will be removed by means of a People Power.”
Agree 48% (55% in NCR, 44% Balance of Luzon, 42% Visayas, 57% Mindanao; 54% Class ABC, 47% Class D,Ã‚Â 49% Class E)
Disagree 27% (22% NCR, 30% Balance of Luzon, 39% Visayas, 13% Mindanao; 29% Class ABC, 27% Class D, 26% Class E)
Q. “It is good for the country if PGMA will be removed by means of a military coup.”
Agree 36% (43% NCR, 36% Balance of Luzon, 32% Visayas, 35% Mindanao; 37% Class ABC, 37% Class D, 34% Class E)
Disagree 35% (33% NCR, 36% Balance of Luzon, 46% Visayas, 26% Mindanao; 34% ABC, 25% D, 36% E)
Q. “The government was right in deciding last February 24 to prohibit rallies against the Arroyo administration.”
What can be gleaned? Resignation is sinking as an option (where it was once a majority position), while people power is rising as a preference; there is surprising minority support for a coup. Only a plurality supports either people power or a coup, but it is a plurality twice as broad as opposition to it. There is a fairly large segment of the population (hovering at roughly 20-25%) that is undecided. The President basically is holding off hostile NCR-Luzon and Mindanao with the Visayas, where support for her, however, has been steadily shrinking. The President’s constituency, nationwide, continues to hold steady at about 25-35% nationwide.
Poll exec admits massive fraud in 2004 elections (Daily Tribune)
GMA election must be respected, Borra says (Manila Standard-Today)
In amendments news:
ChaCha train goes full steam in July, says De Venecia: there’s only one question: unicameral or not? If approved, then Congress becomes an interim parliament, and proceeds with further constitutional overhaul.
In other news, Beltran’s arraignment postponed to May 29 (or: how to keep someone in jail long after you should have been able to prove your case).
Arroyo backs fixed terms for AFP, PNP chiefs: To insulate them from politics (conveniently, if Gen. Senga gets a full, fixed term, he’ll probably be extended as AFP Chief of Staff, which postpones Gen. Esperon’s inevitable succession to the position, which supposedly might further fragment the military).
The most unpleasant day of the year rescheduled: Income tax filing deadline set April 17
In Thailand, the Nation says, Election results are a rude wake-up call for Thaksin. It seems the boycott call worked. Looking forward, the Nation makes a familiar (to Filipinos) demand:
No reconciliation without justice.
Simple rules for writing a Palace statement:
1. Deny everything
2. Concede nothing
3. White is black and black is white
4. Describe the enemy the way the enemy describes you
In the punditocracy, Rene Azurin, a professor in the University of the Philippines, and who was part of the minority in the Constitutional Commission for Charter Change, explains his opposition to the parliamentary system.
The blogosphere has Vincula describing what’s needed when one prepares to make oral arguments before the Supreme Court: wisdom, inspiration, but also a sturdy bladder.
Ellen Tordesillas posts a manifesto writers including myself and she, signed.
Philippine Commentary continues his crusade for a revision of what Edsa II was about. I think he’s only partially right. It was the Second Envelope that brought people out on the streets; and it was the people on the streets that decided what the military would do, with some goading from the political provocateurs; and people power itself was short-circuited when the Supreme Court was convinced to weigh in rather than have the people end up besieging the Palace.
An OFW from Hong Kong compares the latest round of cheating allegations to a bad dream that won’t go away.
baratillo books cinema@cubao tackles three things: ABS-CBN’s effective legal smothering of the Wowowee stampede fallout; contending views on Solita Monsod; and whether pro- and con-Cha-Cha are two sides of an uninspiring coin.
Mamutong takes a gander at explaining just what, exactly, recent news about Meralco is all about.
atty-at-work on the first Philippine expedition to Mount Everest.
Click Mo Mukha Mo says the Jollibee in San Francisco has improved a bit.